February 2 – Groundhog’s Day

So I crunched some numbers on the accuracy of our groundhog (at least the one most of our mainstream outlets use) and Phil (the groundhog) has been correct 7 out of his 15 tries.
This yields a success rate of 47%…which is less than half. Keep in mind there are only 2 options here.

Hopefully y’all see the inherent fallacy, in reasoning that this groundhog’s shadow could somehow reliably assess future weather patterns….

So I vote we get another groundhog

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